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Analysis from INGO ADVISORY practitioners

Commentary and analysis on the trends shaping security, resilience and cyber risk across Africa.

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Africa Analysis
20 Jun 2026 · 12 min

Somalia Security Outlook 2027: Key Risks for Organisations Operating in the Country

Federal-state dynamics, Al-Shabaab pressure and coastal security — what international organisations should be planning for in Somalia through 2027.

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Terrorism

Al-Shabaab in 2026: Evolution of an Adaptive Insurgency

How Al-Shabaab has shifted tactics, financing and targeting — and what that means for NGO, corporate and government operations across the Horn.

12 Jun 2026Read
Africa Analysis

Mogadishu Security Environment: What International Organisations Need to Know

A practitioner's read of Mogadishu — checkpoints, movement, accommodation, VBIED risk and mitigating measures for organisations with staff on the ground.

02 Jun 2026Read
Africa Analysis

Red Sea Security and the Impact on East African Trade Corridors

How Red Sea maritime instability is rerouting cargo, raising costs and reshaping East African supply chains.

22 May 2026Read
Political Risk

Kenya 2027 Elections: Political Risk Scenarios and Business Implications

Three scenarios for Kenya's 2027 election cycle and their implications for security, operations and business continuity.

08 May 2026Read
Political Risk

Ethiopia After Conflict: Security and Investment Risk Assessment

Tigray, Amhara, Oromia — a structured read of the residual security and investment risks facing organisations in Ethiopia.

24 Apr 2026Read
Africa Analysis

The Horn of Africa Security Landscape: 2027 Forecast

Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya, Djibouti, Sudan and South Sudan — a consolidated 2027 outlook for organisations operating in the Horn.

10 Apr 2026Read
Security Intelligence

Entering Africa: Five Security Questions Investors Must Answer First

The five questions every investor should answer before committing capital to an African market — and the risks of skipping them.

28 Mar 2026Read
Security Intelligence

Why Country Risk Assessments Fail in African Markets

The methodological blind spots behind country risk products that don't survive contact with the operating environment.

12 Mar 2026Read
Crisis Management

From Crisis Response to Resilience: Building Operations That Survive Disruption

Beyond crisis plans — how to build organisational resilience for African operating environments.

26 Feb 2026Read
Terrorism

Al-Shabaab's Operational Shift and What It Means for Business

A tactical and strategic review of Al-Shabaab operations and their implications for organisations across the Horn of Africa.

10 Feb 2026Read
Security Intelligence

The Intelligence Cycle: A Primer for Security Leaders

How the classical intelligence cycle applies inside corporate security teams — and where it typically breaks down.

20 Jan 2026Read
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