Continental intelligence coverage
Africa Intelligence Hub
Structured security, conflict, political, humanitarian and operational-risk analysis across all 54 African states. Somalia remains a flagship area of depth within a continent-wide analytical framework.
Published analysis
Latest assessments
North Africa
Algeria Risk Outlook, Q4 2026
An evidence-led Q4 planning assessment of political controls, hydrocarbon-linked fiscal pressure and exposure along the Mali and Libya borders, with operational implications, warning indicators and source limitations clearly separated.
Assessment · confidence stated in report
Southern Africa
Angola Risk Outlook, Q4 2026
An evidence-led Q4 planning assessment of oil-revenue dependence, cost-of-living pressure and uneven public-service capacity, with operational implications, warning indicators and source limitations clearly separated.
Assessment · confidence stated in report
West Africa
Benin Risk Outlook, Q4 2026
An evidence-led Q4 planning assessment of armed-group pressure in northern border departments and exposure around the W-Arly-Pendjari complex, with operational implications, warning indicators and source limitations clearly separated.
Assessment · confidence stated in report
Southern Africa
Botswana Risk Outlook, Q4 2026
An evidence-led Q4 planning assessment of institutional continuity, mineral-sector concentration and water-security constraints, with operational implications, warning indicators and source limitations clearly separated.
Assessment · confidence stated in report
Sahel
Burkina Faso Risk Outlook, Q4 2026
An evidence-led Q4 planning assessment of armed-group violence, territorial fragmentation and severe constraints on road access outside principal urban centres, with operational implications, warning indicators and source limitations clearly separated.
Assessment · confidence stated in report
Great Lakes
Burundi Risk Outlook, Q4 2026
An evidence-led Q4 planning assessment of eastern DRC spillover, political controls and pressure on cross-border movement and supply chains, with operational implications, warning indicators and source limitations clearly separated.
Assessment · confidence stated in report
West Africa
Cabo Verde Risk Outlook, Q4 2026
An evidence-led Q4 planning assessment of low conflict exposure, maritime dependence and sensitivity to imported fuel, food and transport disruption, with operational implications, warning indicators and source limitations clearly separated.
Assessment · confidence stated in report
Central Africa
Cameroon Risk Outlook, Q4 2026
An evidence-led Q4 planning assessment of the Anglophone conflict, Lake Chad Basin militancy and disruption on peripheral transport corridors, with operational implications, warning indicators and source limitations clearly separated.
Assessment · confidence stated in report
Central Africa
Central African Republic Risk Outlook, Q4 2026
An evidence-led Q4 planning assessment of armed-group activity, limited state reach outside Bangui and dependence on negotiated overland access, with operational implications, warning indicators and source limitations clearly separated.
Assessment · confidence stated in report
Sahel
Chad Risk Outlook, Q4 2026
An evidence-led Q4 planning assessment of Sudan conflict spillover, refugee pressure, Sahel militancy and political succession risk, with operational implications, warning indicators and source limitations clearly separated.
Assessment · confidence stated in report
Indian Ocean
Comoros Risk Outlook, Q4 2026
An evidence-led Q4 planning assessment of institutional fragility, import dependence and exposure to cyclone and maritime disruption, with operational implications, warning indicators and source limitations clearly separated.
Assessment · confidence stated in report
Central Africa
Congo (Brazzaville) Risk Outlook, Q4 2026
An evidence-led Q4 planning assessment of political continuity, oil-linked fiscal exposure and constrained public-service delivery, with operational implications, warning indicators and source limitations clearly separated.
Assessment · confidence stated in report