Live incident dataChecking for updates…

Situation Room

Africa Security Situation Room

A strategic overview of significant developments, emerging risks and key events affecting the African operating environment. Country-level risk indicators are assigned by INGO ADVISORY analysts and reviewed on a rolling basis — this is not a 24/7 staffed operations centre, and it does not provide live tracking or emergency response.

Record analytics — published analyst records

Loading analyst records…

Auto-refreshing records · every 60s

By severity

By category — select a bar

Most-reported countries — select a bar

Records published, last 14 days

One click · PDF

Weekly Security Brief

Compiles the last 7 days of intelligence from all six collection layers, grouped by location, with severity, layer attribution and a numbered sources appendix — ready to share with your country teams. The brief is issued in English. Download the citations appendix as CSV — filtered to any country or region subset — to analyse or reuse the underlying source records in a spreadsheet.

Conflict & armed groupsEarly warning & emergenciesGEOINT & situational awarenessCybersecurityStrategic & political riskVerification & corroboration
Command overview

Significant developments across Africa

Counters are derived from the incident records currently displayed and from analyst-assigned country indicators. Choose an indicator, a period and a country to drill down.

Period
Records · last 30d
+26
26
Collected incident records held for the selected period.
High / critical
18
Records assessed at high or critical severity.
Countries with records
17
Out of 54 sovereign states rated.
Elevated indicators
15
States rated high or critical on the selected indicator.
Risk indicator
Overall risk
Analyst-assignedlast reviewed Sept 2026

Interactive map of overall risk across Africa. Focus the map and use the arrow keys to move between countries, Home and End for the first and last country, Enter or Space to open the focused country profile, and Escape to leave the map. Press the question mark key, or use the keyboard controls button, to show or hide the full list of shortcuts. A text list of every country and its rating follows the map.

Low(14)
Moderate(25)
High(9)
Critical(6)
54 sovereign states rated · Western Sahara shown as a disputed territory and excluded from totals
Country ranking

By overall risk

Click a country on the map for the full risk profile.

Event timeline
Most recent records · last 30 days
Collected records
  1. Critical· Red Sea· 12m ago
    Anti-ship missile targets commercial tanker in Bab el-Mandeb
    Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Red Sea corridor · UKMTO · INGO ADVISORY maritime desk
  2. High· Piracy· 47m ago
    Attempted boarding of bulk carrier off Eyl coast
    80nm east of Eyl, Somalia · EU NAVFOR · in-country network
  3. Critical· Terrorism· 2h ago
    VBIED detonates near government complex in Mogadishu
    KM4 junction, Mogadishu, Somalia · INGO ADVISORY Horn of Africa desk
  4. High· Terrorism· 2h ago
    JNIM ambush on military convoy in Sahel triangle
    Tillabéri region, Niger · OSINT · liaison networks
  5. Critical· Armed conflict· 3h ago
    Fresh RSF–SAF clashes reported in El Fasher
    El Fasher, North Darfur, Sudan · INGO ADVISORY conflict cell
  6. High· Red Sea· 4h ago
    USV sighted transiting southern Red Sea
    Southern Red Sea approaches, Red Sea corridor · CTF 153 · UKMTO
  7. High· Cyber· 5h ago
    Ransomware campaign targeting regional banking sector
    Multiple, Kenya · INGO ADVISORY cyber threat intel
  8. Moderate· Civil unrest· 6h ago
    Cost-of-living protests planned in Nairobi CBD
    Nairobi CBD, Kenya · INGO ADVISORY East Africa desk
  9. High· Political· 7h ago
    Government reshuffle triggers uncertainty in Bamako
    Bamako, Mali · Political risk desk
  10. Moderate· Piracy· 8h ago
    Suspicious approach — Gulf of Guinea
    120nm south of Lomé, Togo · MDAT-GoG
  11. High· Armed conflict· 9h ago
    M23 advances reported in North Kivu
    Rutshuru territory, DR Congo · MONUSCO · INGO ADVISORY field
  12. High· Terrorism· 10h ago
    ISCAP raid on village in Cabo Delgado
    Macomia district, Mozambique · INGO ADVISORY Southern Africa desk
  13. High· Elections· 11h ago
    Contested presidential vote count enters second week
    Kinshasa, DR Congo · INGO ADVISORY political desk
  14. Moderate· Elections· 12h ago
    Campaign rally clashes ahead of general election
    Kaduna, Nigeria · OSINT
Threat trend · last 30 days
Records per period
Collected records
30 days agoNow
Distribution
Category and severity
  • Terrorism3
  • Airport disruption3
  • Natural disaster3
  • Red Sea2
  • Piracy2
  • Armed conflict2
  • Cyber2
  • Critical4
  • High14
  • Moderate8
  • Info0
Current incidents

What we are tracking right now

A rolling view of the 12 incident categories INGO ADVISORY monitors across Africa and the Red Sea operational theatre. Counts are calculated from the records currently displayed, and incidents may be assigned to more than one threat category.

3 active
Terrorism
31 crit
2 active
Civil unrest
21 high
2 active
Piracy
21 high
2 active
Red Sea
21 crit
2 active
Armed conflict
21 crit
2 active
Elections
21 high
2 active
Border closures
21 high
3 active
Airport disruption
32 high
2 active
Health alert
21 high
3 active
Natural disaster
31 crit
1 active
Political
11 high
2 active
Cyber
21 high
Recent records

Incident stream

Filter by country, threat type, date range and severity. Records are added as they are collected and reviewed; the verification status of each incident is shown on the item.

Live incident feed
Africa & Red Sea theatre
Threat type
Country
Date range
Severity
  • Monitoring — no independently verified incident matches the current filters.
Feed auto-refreshes · 0 incidents shown · incidents may be assigned to more than one threat category
INITIALISING SECURE DATA PIPELINE FEED MATRIX...
Advisory note. Ratings are INGO ADVISORY's analyst judgement based on open-source intelligence, in-country networks and client engagements. They inform advisory conversations and are not a substitute for a commissioned country risk assessment. Contact us for tailored briefings.