How Africa's active threats are evolving.
Each threat is tracked as a living dossier — milestones, situational updates, partner activity and analyst advisories in one chronological view.
Sudan — RSF/SAF conflict and Darfur humanitarian collapse
Ongoing RSF-SAF conflict has produced the world's largest displacement crisis, with over 12M displaced internally and cross-border and famine confirmed in five Darfur localities.
JNIM expansion across the central Sahel
Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) has widened operational reach from northern Mali into coastal Benin and Togo, exploiting the withdrawal of external partners and fragile transitional governments.
State-linked cyber operations against African financial infrastructure
Coordinated intrusion campaigns targeting central bank payment rails and telco operators across four major African economies. Attribution pending; techniques consistent with state-linked APT activity.
Red Sea shipping disruption & Bab-el-Mandeb chokepoint
Houthi-linked missile and USV attacks on commercial shipping continue to reshape traffic through Bab-el-Mandeb, driving up insurance premiums and rerouting African trade around the Cape.
Eastern DRC — M23 offensive and North Kivu displacement
M23 advances in North Kivu have displaced 1.9M civilians and drawn in regional forces from SADC and the East African Community, creating one of the largest active humanitarian corridors on the continent.
Cabo Delgado insurgency & LNG operations posture
Ansar al-Sunna (ASWJ) activity resurges around the Afungi peninsula as SAMIM drawdown continues and TotalEnergies reviews the timeline for LNG project restart.