Risk trend analysis
How Africa’s risk indicators are moving
Threat, political, terrorism, conflict and maritime indicators plotted over time from published records across the six collection layers. Choose a region and window to see direction of travel, severity-weighted intensity and window-on-window change.
337 indicator records in window · Updated 07 Oct, 13:21
Indicator movement over time
Severity-weighted intensity per period · All Africa
Indicator comparison
Unstacked view for direct trajectory comparison.
Regional intensity
Severity-weighted intensity by region for the selected indicators and window.
Indicators are derived from published records classified by type, category and content. Intensity weights critical events above low-severity reporting.
Compare countriesIndependent research
Explore the research
Open-source analysis of security developments, operational risk and emerging threats across Africa, with a focus on Africa.