All threats
HighActive·Maritime / Geopolitical

Red Sea shipping disruption & Bab-el-Mandeb chokepoint

Houthi-linked missile and USV attacks on commercial shipping continue to reshape traffic through Bab-el-Mandeb, driving up insurance premiums and rerouting African trade around the Cape.

Region
Horn of Africa · Red Sea
Djibouti, Eritrea, Somalia, Sudan
Opened
Oct 12, 2025
Last update May 14, 2026
Partners engaged
EU NAVFOR Aspides · Combined Maritime Forces · IMO · Djibouti Ports Authority
Events tracked
6
1 milestones · 2 updates · 2 partner · 1 advisories
Replay events
6 / 6 events·Partner activityMay 14, 2026Djibouti expands port capacity for rerouted cargo
Filter events
  1. May 14, 2026Partner activity·Djibouti Ports Authority

    Djibouti expands port capacity for rerouted cargo

    Doraleh Container Terminal announces $340M expansion to absorb overflow from Cape-rerouted vessels transiting to Ethiopia.

  2. Mar 30, 2026UpdateHigh

    USV swarm attack repelled in southern Red Sea

    Coalition assets neutralise seven unmanned surface vessels; no vessel damage. Insurance war-risk premiums rise 0.9pp.

  3. Feb 19, 2026Analyst advisory

    ADVISORY: East Africa importers to hold 45-day buffer stock

    INGO Advisory revises supply-chain guidance for Kenyan, Tanzanian and Ethiopian importers pending sustained convoy availability.

  4. Jan 6, 2026UpdateHigh

    Cape rerouting sustains 62% of container traffic

    IMO data confirms Red Sea container throughput remains at 38% of pre-crisis baseline, adding 10-14 days to East Africa-Europe schedules.

  5. Nov 20, 2025Partner activity·EU NAVFOR Aspides

    EU extends NAVFOR Aspides mandate

    Council authorises 12-month extension with two additional frigates from Italy and Greece.

  6. Oct 12, 2025MilestoneCritical

    Anti-ship ballistic missile strike on VLCC

    First confirmed ASBM impact on a very-large crude carrier in the southern Red Sea; no casualties, cargo secured.