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HighMonitoring·Insurgency / Energy Security

Cabo Delgado insurgency & LNG operations posture

Ansar al-Sunna (ASWJ) activity resurges around the Afungi peninsula as SAMIM drawdown continues and TotalEnergies reviews the timeline for LNG project restart.

Region
Southern Africa
Mozambique, Tanzania
Opened
Jul 12, 2025
Last update May 5, 2026
Partners engaged
SAMIM (residual) · Rwandan Defence Force · TotalEnergies · EU Training Mission
Events tracked
5
1 milestones · 2 updates · 1 partner · 1 advisories
Replay events
5 / 5 events·UpdateMay 5, 2026IDP returns pause pending security review
Filter events
  1. May 5, 2026UpdateHigh

    IDP returns pause pending security review

    IOM pauses 6,400 planned voluntary returns to Mocímboa da Praia; provincial authorities cite intelligence indicators.

  2. Mar 4, 2026Analyst advisory

    ADVISORY: Contractor movement between Pemba and Palma

    INGO Advisory recommends convoy-only overland travel and 48-hour advance route clearance for all contractor movements.

  3. Jan 17, 2026Partner activity·TotalEnergies

    TotalEnergies re-scopes LNG restart timeline

    Force majeure conditions revisited; independent security assessment commissioned ahead of Q3 board decision.

  4. Nov 8, 2025UpdateHigh

    ASWJ attacks resume in Macomia

    Three coordinated raids in 10 days on villages 40 km from Afungi. Two fatalities among FADM personnel.

  5. Jul 12, 2025MilestoneModerate

    SAMIM drawdown completed

    SADC mission formally ends; Rwandan contingent and FADM assume primary security responsibility for northern districts.