INGO ADVISORYIndependent Security Intelligence & Risk Analysis
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Africa Risk Dashboard

Africa risk intelligence, consolidated in one view

Threat map, country risk scores by domain, recent incident records, security alerts and analyst reports — maintained across all 54 African states by INGO ADVISORY's Africa desk.

Country risk scores

Analyst-assigned levels per country and category.

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Risk trends

Direction of travel across recorded incident tempo.

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Early-warning indicators

Escalation signals and forward risk outlook.

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Record analytics — published analyst records

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By severity

By category — select a bar

Most-reported countries — select a bar

Records published, last 14 days

Risk domains

What the dashboard covers

Africa threat map

Africa risk overview

Interactive map of overall risk across Africa. Focus the map and use the arrow keys to move between countries, Home and End for the first and last country, Enter or Space to open the focused country profile, and Escape to leave the map. Press the question mark key, or use the keyboard controls button, to show or hide the full list of shortcuts. A text list of every country and its rating follows the map.

  • Algeria. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: terrorism moderate.
  • Angola. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: political instability moderate.
  • Benin. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. Key risk factors: maritime security high.
  • Botswana. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: cyber threats moderate.
  • Burkina Faso. Overall risk: Critical, severity 4 of 4. Key risk factors: terrorism critical, travel risk critical, violent & organised crime critical, and 9 further elevated factors. Analyst note: Junta rule; jihadist expansion.
  • Burundi. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. Key risk factors: political instability high, civil unrest & protest high, disinformation & influence ops high.
  • Cabo Verde. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: maritime security moderate.
  • Cameroon. Overall risk: High, severity 3 of 4. Key risk factors: terrorism high, conflict zones high, travel risk high, and 5 further elevated factors. Analyst note: Anglophone crisis; northern insecurity.
  • Central African Republic. Overall risk: High, severity 3 of 4. Key risk factors: political instability high, conflict zones high, travel risk high, and 6 further elevated factors.
  • Chad. Overall risk: High, severity 3 of 4. Key risk factors: terrorism high, political instability high, conflict zones high, and 9 further elevated factors.
  • Comoros. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: political instability moderate.
  • Côte d'Ivoire. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: terrorism moderate.
  • Djibouti. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. Key risk factors: maritime security high.
  • DR Congo. Overall risk: Critical, severity 4 of 4. Key risk factors: conflict zones critical, travel risk critical, violent & organised crime critical, and 9 further elevated factors. Analyst note: M23/ADF in eastern provinces.
  • Egypt. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. Key risk factors: maritime security high. Analyst note: Sinai insurgency contained.
  • Equatorial Guinea. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. Key risk factors: political instability high, civil unrest & protest high, disinformation & influence ops high.
  • Eritrea. Overall risk: High, severity 3 of 4. Key risk factors: political instability high, travel risk high, violent & organised crime high, and 2 further elevated factors.
  • Eswatini. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: political instability moderate.
  • Ethiopia. Overall risk: High, severity 3 of 4. Key risk factors: political instability high, conflict zones high, travel risk high, and 8 further elevated factors. Analyst note: Tigray recovery, Amhara/Oromia unrest.
  • Gabon. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: political instability moderate.
  • Gambia. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: maritime security moderate.
  • Ghana. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: terrorism moderate.
  • Guinea. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. Key risk factors: political instability high, civil unrest & protest high, disinformation & influence ops high.
  • Guinea-Bissau. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. Key risk factors: political instability high, civil unrest & protest high.
  • Kenya. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. Key risk factors: terrorism high, cyber threats high, disinformation & influence ops high. Analyst note: Cross-border spillover; urban crime.
  • Lesotho. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: political instability moderate.
  • Liberia. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: political instability moderate.
  • Libya. Overall risk: High, severity 3 of 4. Key risk factors: terrorism high, political instability high, conflict zones high, and 10 further elevated factors. Analyst note: Fragmented governance.
  • Madagascar. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: political instability moderate.
  • Malawi. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: political instability moderate.
  • Mali. Overall risk: Critical, severity 4 of 4. Key risk factors: terrorism critical, travel risk critical, violent & organised crime critical, and 9 further elevated factors. Analyst note: AQIM/JNIM activity in north.
  • Mauritania. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: terrorism moderate.
  • Mauritius. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: maritime security moderate.
  • Morocco. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: maritime security moderate.
  • Mozambique. Overall risk: High, severity 3 of 4. Key risk factors: terrorism high, conflict zones high, travel risk high, and 5 further elevated factors. Analyst note: ISCAP activity in Cabo Delgado.
  • Namibia. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: maritime security moderate.
  • Niger. Overall risk: High, severity 3 of 4. Key risk factors: terrorism high, political instability high, conflict zones high, and 9 further elevated factors. Analyst note: Post-coup security realignment.
  • Nigeria. Overall risk: High, severity 3 of 4. Key risk factors: terrorism high, conflict zones high, maritime security high, and 9 further elevated factors. Analyst note: Banditry; Boko Haram; oil theft.
  • Republic of the Congo. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: political instability moderate.
  • Rwanda. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: political instability moderate.
  • São Tomé and Príncipe. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: maritime security moderate.
  • Senegal. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: terrorism moderate.
  • Seychelles. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. Key risk factors: maritime security high.
  • Sierra Leone. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: political instability moderate.
  • Somalia. Overall risk: Critical, severity 4 of 4. Key risk factors: terrorism critical, travel risk critical, violent & organised crime critical, and 10 further elevated factors. Analyst note: Al-Shabaab activity; federal-state tensions.
  • South Africa. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. Key risk factors: cyber threats high, disinformation & influence ops high.
  • South Sudan. Overall risk: Critical, severity 4 of 4. Key risk factors: political instability critical, conflict zones critical, travel risk critical, and 8 further elevated factors. Analyst note: Ongoing intercommunal violence.
  • Sudan. Overall risk: Critical, severity 4 of 4. Key risk factors: political instability critical, conflict zones critical, travel risk critical, and 9 further elevated factors. Analyst note: Active civil war.
  • Tanzania. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: terrorism moderate.
  • Togo. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. Key risk factors: maritime security high.
  • Tunisia. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: terrorism moderate.
  • Uganda. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. Key risk factors: terrorism high.
  • Western Sahara. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: political instability moderate. Analyst note: Disputed territory — status unresolved; not counted as a sovereign state.
  • Zambia. Overall risk: Low, severity 1 of 4. No factors rated high or critical. Highest factor: cyber threats moderate.
  • Zimbabwe. Overall risk: Moderate, severity 2 of 4. Key risk factors: political instability high, civil unrest & protest high, disinformation & influence ops high.
LowModerateHighCritical

Country risk scores

Top 10

Rating distribution — Overall risk

How analyst-assigned indicators are spread across covered African states for the selected category, and which incident types appear most often in the records shown on this page. Indicators are judgements from public reporting, not measurements.

States by indicator level

Counted across every covered state for the selected category.

  • Critical6
  • High9
  • Moderate26
  • Low14

Incident records by type

Incident records currently held for this dashboard, grouped by category.

Incident timeline

View all
  1. 12m ago·Red Sea·Critical
    Anti-ship missile targets commercial tanker in Bab el-Mandeb
    Bab el-Mandeb Strait · Red Sea corridor
  2. 47m ago·Piracy·High
    Attempted boarding of bulk carrier off Eyl coast
    80nm east of Eyl · Somalia
  3. 96m ago·Terrorism·Critical
    VBIED detonates near government complex in Mogadishu
    KM4 junction, Mogadishu · Somalia
  4. 143m ago·Terrorism·High
    JNIM ambush on military convoy in Sahel triangle
    Tillabéri region · Niger
  5. 205m ago·Armed conflict·Critical
    Fresh RSF–SAF clashes reported in El Fasher
    El Fasher, North Darfur · Sudan
  6. 268m ago·Red Sea·High
    USV sighted transiting southern Red Sea
    Southern Red Sea approaches · Red Sea corridor
  7. 312m ago·Cyber·High
    Ransomware campaign targeting regional banking sector
    Multiple · Kenya
  8. 355m ago·Civil unrest·Moderate
    Cost-of-living protests planned in Nairobi CBD
    Nairobi CBD · Kenya

Security alerts

Client portal
  • Somalia·20713d ago
    VBIED detonation in Mogadishu — KM4 corridor

    Client movement in Mogadishu paused pending route clearance. Journey management protocols reactivate only on written confirmation from the security manager. Threat level for the corridor is held at CRITICAL: an attack is highly likely in the near future.

    Critical
  • Kenya·20713d ago
    Cost-of-living protests — Nairobi CBD

    Avoid the CBD between 10:00 and 17:00. Alternate routes briefed to drivers and office access moved to the secondary gate. Threat level MODERATE: disruption is possible but not likely outside the announced march routes.

    Moderate
  • Mozambique·20713d ago
    Cabo Delgado security posture raised

    ISCAP activity reported in Macomia district. LNG project clients on heightened posture; non-essential movement outside camps discouraged. Threat level SUBSTANTIAL: an attack is likely in the affected districts.

    High
  • Kenya·20713d ago
    Ransomware campaign targeting the financial sector

    LockBit-derivative tooling observed against mid-tier banks. Advisory with indicators of compromise pushed to portfolio CISO contacts. Threat level SUBSTANTIAL for exposed sectors; verified against multiple reporting streams.

    High
  • Mozambique·20714d ago
    Cyclone landfall — Nampula

    Category 4 landfall overnight with sustained damage to coastal infrastructure. Duty-of-care check-ins requested for all deployed staff by 09:00 CAT. Posture equivalent to CRITICAL: severe impact is highly likely to continue for 48 hours.

    Critical
Intelligence library

Client reports

Browse library
Country Risk·Somalia·42 pp
Somalia Country Risk Assessment Q4 2026

Al-Shabaab operational tempo, federal-state politics, coastal security and business continuity outlook.

Published 2026-07-12
Regional·Regional·24 pp
East Africa Threat Briefing — July

Kenya, Ethiopia, Uganda, Tanzania and Somalia developments with duty-of-care implications.

Published 2026-07-05
Maritime·Red Sea corridor·18 pp
Red Sea Maritime Risk Update

Latest anti-ship activity, USV threats and BMP-aligned recommendations for transiting vessels.

Published 2026-07-02
Country Risk·Mali / Burkina Faso / Niger·51 pp
Sahel Terrorism Landscape 2026

JNIM and ISSP posture, junta trajectory and operating recommendations for extractive and NGO clients.

Published 2026-06-28
Further country analysis
Read the country risk analysis and regional assessments published on this site.
Open research