Africa · West Africa
Guinea-Bissau security & risk intelligence
Coup-prone politics, narcotics-transit criminality, institutional fragility, and thin state capacity for incident response.
- Overall risk
- Moderate
- Published records
- 18
- Analyst reviewed
- 0 · 0%
- Last updated
- 30 Aug 2026, 23:31 UTC
Intelligence library — Guinea-Bissau
- Total published items
- 18
- Analyst-reviewed
- 0 (0%)
- Briefings
- 0
- Last 7 days
- 13
- Last 30 days
- 17
- Distinct sources
- 16
Library last updated Coverage since 24 Mar 2026
Recurrent coup attempts.
Risk indicator trends
Threat, political, terrorism, conflict and maritime reporting for Guinea-Bissau over time.
- Threat
- 3
- Political
- 14
- Terrorism
- 0
- Conflict
- 0
- Maritime
- 0
Sub-regional & location breakdown
Derived from published records only — sub-regions and locations appear when reporting exists.
Country-level reporting
18 recordsLatest 30 Aug 2026
- Guinea-Bissau · 7
- Guinea · 1
Threat profile
Principal threats
- · Political
- · Narcotics
- Moderate18
Latest Guinea-Bissau records
- ModerateUnconfirmed30 Aug 2026· Guinea-Bissau
Guinea-Bissau votes in referendum on giving president more powers
Ballot counting began in military-run Guinea-Bissau as voting ended in Sunday’s referendum, which could give the president more powers ahead of a general election meant to restore civilian rule later this year. Security was stepped up at strategic points in the capital, with members of the national guard and the police stationed at key locations. Read More:
- ModerateUnconfirmed30 Aug 2026· Guinea-Bissau
Vote count starts in Guinea-Bissau referendum on strengthening presidency
Ten months after a coup, military leaders say the referendum is designed to stabilise future civilian governments.
- ModerateUnconfirmed30 Aug 2026
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum on granting the president expanded powers
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum on granting the president expanded powers. Reported by thegazette.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- ModerateUnconfirmed30 Aug 2026
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum to grant expanded presidential powers ahead of election
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum to grant expanded presidential powers ahead of election. Reported by local10.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- ModerateUnconfirmed30 Aug 2026
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum to grant expanded presidential powers ahead of election
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum to grant expanded presidential powers ahead of election. Reported by clickondetroit.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- ModerateUnconfirmed30 Aug 2026
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum to grant expanded presidential powers ahead of election
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum to grant expanded presidential powers ahead of election. Reported by clickorlando.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- ModerateUnconfirmed30 Aug 2026
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum to grant expanded presidential powers ahead of election
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum to grant expanded presidential powers ahead of election. Reported by wsls.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- ModerateUnconfirmed30 Aug 2026
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum to grant expanded presidential powers ahead of election
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum to grant expanded presidential powers ahead of election. Reported by winknews.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- ModerateUnconfirmed30 Aug 2026
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum to grant expanded presidential powers ahead of election – Winnipeg Free Press
Guinea - Bissau votes in a referendum to grant expanded presidential powers ahead of election – Winnipeg Free Press. Reported by winnipegfreepress.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- ModerateUnconfirmed30 Aug 2026
Guinea - Bissau votes in controversial referendum
Guinea - Bissau votes in controversial referendum. Reported by dailyliberal.com.au and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- ModerateUnconfirmed30 Aug 2026
Guinea - Bissau votes in controversial referendum
Guinea - Bissau votes in controversial referendum. Reported by centralwesterndaily.com.au and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- ModerateUnconfirmed30 Aug 2026
Guinea - Bissau votes in controversial referendum
Guinea - Bissau votes in controversial referendum. Reported by goulburnpost.com.au and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- ModerateUnconfirmed26 Aug 2026· Guinea-Bissau
Guinea-Bissau to vote on constitution expanding presidential powers
The referendum is due to take place on August 30, followed by general elections in December. The vote is therefore being closely watched as Guinea-Bissau attempts to move from military rule back toward an elected government
- ModerateUnconfirmed21 Aug 2026· Guinea-Bissau
First-ever mpox cases reported in Guinea-Bissau with children the most vulnerable
UNICEF says it is very concerning that half of the 46 suspected cases are children under the age of 15.
- ModerateUnconfirmed20 Aug 2026· Guinea-Bissau
Mpox: Children account for half of suspected cases in Guinea-Bissau
Children, who are particularly vulnerable to the disease, account for half of the 46 suspected mpox cases identified in Guinea-Bissau – with 16 of them under the age of four.
- ModerateUnconfirmed20 Aug 2026· Guinea-Bissau
Children account for half of suspected mpox cases in Guinea-Bissau
Guinea-Bissau UN Children's Fund BISSAU/DAKAR, 20 August 2026 – Children under 15 account for half of all 46 suspected mpox cases in Guinea-Bissau. UNICEF is scaling up its support to the Ministry of Public Health in direct response to the country’s first-ever mpox outbreak. “This is the first time mpox cases have been reported in Guinea-Bissau, making even a small outbreak a major public health event,” sa
- ModerateUnconfirmed17 Aug 2026· Guinea-Bissau
UNICEF Guinea-Bissau Flash Update No. 2 (Mpox Outbreak Response), 21 July – 13 August 2026
Guinea-Bissau UN Children's Fund Highlights Six laboratory-confirmed mpox cases have been reported since the outbreak was declared,
- ModerateUnconfirmed24 Mar 2026· Guinea
Guinea-Bissau: Fire - Mar 2026
Affected Guinea-Bissau Glide: FR-2026-000055-GNB On March 24th , 2026, a large fire devastated the village of TUCUNDE, CARAVELA Sector, Bolama /Bijagós Region, Caravela Island is the northernmost island of the Bijagós Archipelago, located in the administrative region of Bolama, in Guinea-Bissau. Located in the Atlantic Ocean, approximately 37 km from the mainland coast, it is part of the Caravela Sector, with 128 km² and a landscape of dense forests, mangroves and beaches, with an airport (GGCV).
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