Africa Risk Overview
Board-level posture across 10 African regions and 40 countries, computed from 1000 published intelligence records in the last 30 days.
Composite of severity mix and reporting volume across the published library. Index runs 0–100; see methodology.
Key indicators
Regional risk board
- SahelSevere119 events · 1 critical · 4 countries+119Most reported: Niger
- Horn of AfricaSevere125 events · 2 critical · 4 countries+125Most reported: South Sudan
- Great LakesSevere49 events · 8 critical · 3 countries+49Most reported: Uganda
- West AfricaSevere484 events · 3 critical · 8 countries+484Most reported: Nigeria
- Central AfricaSevere85 events · 14 critical · 5 countries+85Most reported: DR Congo
- Indian OceanSevere2 events · 0 critical · 1 countries+2Most reported: Madagascar
- Southern AfricaSevere49 events · 0 critical · 8 countries+49Most reported: South Africa
- East AfricaSubstantial52 events · 0 critical · 2 countries+52Most reported: Kenya
- North AfricaSubstantial33 events · 0 critical · 5 countries+33Most reported: Algeria
- UnattributedModerate2 events · 0 critical · 0 countries+2
Countries in focus
- DR Congo71 · 14 crit
- Uganda45 · 7 crit
- Nigeria357 · 2 crit
- Sudan39 · 2 crit
- Niger100 · 1 crit
- Liberia8 · 1 crit
- Rwanda3 · 1 crit
- Ghana80 · 0 crit
Reporting by domain
- incident861 · 25 crit
- briefing76 · 2 crit
- insight55 · 1 crit
- environmental5 · 0 crit
- maritime3 · 0 crit
Critical threats
8- CriticalDR Congoincident31 Aug 2026
Uganda marks end of Ebola disease outbreak
Uganda Médecins Sans Frontières After 42 days without any new confirmed cases of Bundibugyo virus, 27 August marks the official end of the Ebola outbreak in Uganda . This outbreak involved 20 infected people, 18 of whom recovered, while two people sad
- CriticalNigeriaincident30 Aug 2026
Nigerian govt agencies and the need to build trust beyond announcements
By Israel Fagbemigun One of the most recurring problems confronting Nigeria since independence is not simply the failure of government policies, but the growing distance between government and the people it governs. Over the decades, Nigerians have witnessed military coups, prolonged military rule, democratic transitio
- CriticalDR Congoincident29 Aug 2026
DR Congo begins vaccinating against largest and deadliest Ebola outbreak
70,000 Ervebo vaccine doses have been sent to DR Congo in hope they prove effective against the Bundibugyo strain.
- CriticalNigerbriefing29 Aug 2026
Tentative de coup d’État au Niger : l’armée et les Russes d’Africa Corps affirment avoir repris la base 101
Une mutinerie a éclaté à Niamey dans la nuit du vendredi 28 au samedi 29 août, ciblant la présidence, l’aéroport et la télévision. La tentative de coup d’État, menée par de jeunes officiers, aurait été mise en échec samedi dans la soirée par la junte, avec l’aide des Russes d’Africa Corps. Retour sur une journée de com
- CriticalDR Congoincident28 Aug 2026
Ebola spreads to two new zones in DRC; 60 areas now affected
DRC's is the fastest-spreading Ebola outbreak ever recorded, with 5,794 confirmed cases and 2,786 deaths.
- CriticalUgandainsight28 Aug 2026
Uganda Announces End of Ebola Outbreak , Yet Regional Risks Remain
Uganda Announces End of Ebola Outbreak , Yet Regional Risks Remain. Reported by ipsnews.net and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- CriticalSudanincident28 Aug 2026
Two-year curfew lifted in Sudan’s capital
Sudan’s military-led government has lifted a curfew and state of emergency in Khartoum imposed more than two years ago, state media says. The authorities are taking this step 18 months…
- CriticalSudanincident28 Aug 2026
Sudan lifts two-year curfew in Khartoum amid ongoing war
Sudan has lifted a two-year-old night-time curfew and a state of emergency in the capital, Khartoum, in a move authorities say will allow residents to move and work around the clock.
Severe threats
8- SevereNigeriaincident31 Aug 2026
Peace Accord: 870 killed in election violence in 11 years
Nigeria’s struggle with electoral violence has continued despite repeated peace accords signed by political parties and candidates, with no fewer than 870 people reportedly killed in election-related violence since the National Peace Committee began its intervention in 2015. The figure has renewed concerns over the eff
- SevereCameroonincident31 Aug 2026
Communities in Cameroon take an active role in preventing cholera
Cameroon Médecins Sans Frontières Placing communities in Cameroon at the heart of cholera prevention efforts is the basis of a new initiative between Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) and Cameroon’s Ministry of Health (MoH). The project – launched i
- SevereGhanaincident30 Aug 2026
Ghanaian - Nigerian Pastor Found Dead , Colleague Missing After Abduction In Plateau As Gunmen Kill Three Others Overnight
Ghanaian - Nigerian Pastor Found Dead , Colleague Missing After Abduction In Plateau As Gunmen Kill Three Others Overnight. Reported by saharareporters.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- SevereNigerincident30 Aug 2026
Niger : CAN seeks permanent security presence in Borgu over Mosque abductions
Niger : CAN seeks permanent security presence in Borgu over Mosque abductions. Reported by dailypost.ng and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- SevereSudanincident30 Aug 2026
Sudan Blue Nile sees mass displacement as clashes trigger crisis
Sudan Blue Nile sees mass displacement as clashes trigger crisis. Reported by news.az and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- SevereNigeriaincident30 Aug 2026
Abducted Plateau pastor found dead, four others reportedly killed
The deceased pastor was identified as Hills Emmanuel, a former pastor with Dunamis Church and founder of The Wonderful Grace of God Evangelical Ministry in Bokkos The post Abducted Plateau pastor found dead, four others reportedly killed appeared first on Premium Times Nigeria.
- SevereNigerincident30 Aug 2026
Borgu abduction : Niger CAN wants tighter security around worship centres
Borgu abduction : Niger CAN wants tighter security around worship centres. Reported by tribuneonlineng.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.
- SevereNigeriaincident30 Aug 2026
Filmhouse confirms machete attack at Lekki IMAX, strengthens security
Police say the suspected attacker stabbed one security guard to death and injured another before a mob overpowered and killed him. The post Filmhouse confirms machete attack at Lekki IMAX, strengthens security appeared first on Premium Times Nigeria.
Emerging signals
8- SevereNigeriaincident31 Aug 2026
Peace Accord: 870 killed in election violence in 11 years
Nigeria’s struggle with electoral violence has continued despite repeated peace accords signed by political parties and candidates, with no fewer than 870 people reportedly killed in election-related violence since the National Peace Committee began its intervention in 2015. The figure has renewed concerns over the eff
- ModerateNigeriaincident31 Aug 2026
Troops kill terrorists, recover weapons in Katsina, Sokoto, Plateau
Nigerian troops neutralised terrorists and recovered weapons in clearance operations across Katsina, Sokoto, and Plateau states, enhancing regional securit Read More:
- ModerateNigeriaincident31 Aug 2026
Seven suspected car snatchers nabbed in Oyo, Abuja
Operatives of the Nigeria Police Force in Abuja and Oyo State have arrested seven suspected members of separate interstate armed robbery, car snatching, and truck-hijacking syndicates. PUNCH Metro learnt this in separate statements by the Force Public Relations Officer, Ani Iniedu, and the Oyo State Police Public Relat
- ModerateBurkina Fasoincident31 Aug 2026
Togo - Mise à jour des messages clés : Des résultats de Crise (Phase 3 de l'IPC) persistent dans les Kpendjals au pic de la soudure, Juillet 2026 - Janvier 2027
Togo Famine Early Warning System Network Messages clé En ce mois de juillet 2026, l'insécurité alimentaire aigue dans les préfectures d
- ModerateBurkina Fasoincident31 Aug 2026
Togo - Key Message Update: Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes persist in the Kpendjals at the peak of lean season, July 2026 - January 2027
Togo Famine Early Warning System Network Key Messages In July 2026, food security conditions in Kpendjal and Kpendjal-Ouest prefectures
- CriticalDR Congoincident31 Aug 2026
Uganda marks end of Ebola disease outbreak
Uganda Médecins Sans Frontières After 42 days without any new confirmed cases of Bundibugyo virus, 27 August marks the official end of the Ebola outbreak in Uganda . This outbreak involved 20 infected people, 18 of whom recovered, while two people sad
- SevereCameroonincident31 Aug 2026
Communities in Cameroon take an active role in preventing cholera
Cameroon Médecins Sans Frontières Placing communities in Cameroon at the heart of cholera prevention efforts is the basis of a new initiative between Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) and Cameroon’s Ministry of Health (MoH). The project – launched i
- ModerateNigeriaincident31 Aug 2026
Nigerian Army X account hit in second military cyber breach
The Nigerian Army has reported an attempted unauthorised access to its official X account, marking the second reported cyber breach involving a Nigerian military social media account in about two weeks. The Army’s account began publishing memecoin-related updates at about 3:50 p.m. on Saturday, before the development w