high severityclimateUnconfirmed · 22

EnvironmentalIndian OceanMadagascar · Madagascar, MozambiqueRelevance: CountryAutomated ingestion — not analyst reviewed

Red Tropical Cyclone GEZANI-26 in Madagascar, Mozambique from: 06 Feb 2026 to: 18 Feb 2026 .

Madagascar · Madagascar, MozambiqueEvent: 06 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTCLast updated: 31 Aug 2026, 00:56 UTC

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Reported detail

gdacstc

Verification confidence

Unconfirmed

22/100

Multi-source verification score

1 source · 1 layer

Single-thread or unattributed reporting. Treat as an early warning only, pending corroboration.

Six-layer coverage

L1 Conflict & armed groups
No matched signal (ACLED, UCDP, GDELT)
L2 Early warning & emergencies
GDACS
L3 GEOINT & situational awareness
No matched signal (Copernicus, NASA FIRMS, USGS)
L4 Cybersecurity
No matched signal (AlienVault OTX, AbuseIPDB, URLhaus)
L5 Strategic & political risk
No matched signal (GDELT, OpenSanctions, ISS)
L6 Verification
No matched signal (Analyst desk checks, OSINT verification)

How this score was reached

Independent reporting sources+8 / 30
Single-source reporting (GDACS). No independent publisher has been matched to this event yet.
Cross-layer corroboration+6 / 25
Only one collection layer covers this event (L2 Early warning & emergencies). Corroboration from a second layer would raise confidence.
Structured / instrument evidence0 / 15
No conflict-event dataset (L1) or geospatial/GEOINT record (L3) has been matched — reporting is narrative only.
Traceable citation+10 / 10
A direct link to the primary reporting is published with the record.
Location resolved+8 / 8
The event is resolved to coordinates, allowing geospatial cross-checking.
Analyst verification (L6)0 / 12
Awaiting analyst desk verification; the record stands as collected.
Integrity deductions-10
Confidence reduced because the originating feed declares the report unconfirmed.

Score is computed from collection metadata (independent publishers, collection layers, citation, geolocation, analyst review). It measures how well the event is corroborated, not how severe it is.

Credibility

Confidence: Unconfirmed
Source reliability: Not graded

Inclusion in this library is not an endorsement of a source. Ungraded items have not yet been assessed by an analyst.

Source provenance

Source: GDACS
Source type: Open source
Published: Not provided by source
Event date: 06 Feb 2026 00:00 UTC
Data as of: 06 Feb 2026 00:00 UTC
Last verified: 31 Aug 2026 00:56 UTC
Drafting: Analyst desk

Open original source

Primary reporting

CitationGDACS· Published Feb 06, 2026, 12:00 AM· Fetched Jul 24, 2026, 06:00 AM

gdacs.org/report.aspx?eventid=1001256&episodeid=47&eventtype=TC

Red Tropical Cyclone GEZANI-26 in Madagascar, Mozambique from: 06 Feb 2026 to: 18 Feb 2026 .
Excerpt captured at fetch

Source names are cited under fair use for editorial commentary. INGO Advisory is not affiliated with these organisations and reproduces no proprietary content.